Technical Indicators are showing signs of Exhaustion Again After gaining nearly 20 percent through Sept. 18, a number of technical studies indicate the S&P 500 index may now be nearing an exhaustion point. The S&P 500 uptrend may have reached …
Fed Surprise No Taper
U.S. Nominal and Real Long-Term Interest Rates The Federal Reserve’s surprising decision not to reduce the pace of their asset purchase program may reinforce the importance of fundamental data during the upcoming week. Policy makers, looking for sustained improvement in …
Quantitative Easing Update
Cost Analysis of the Great Taper Debate We are rapidly approaching the FOMC meeting and highly anticipated announcement (Wednesday, September 18th) to taper monetary stimulus from quantitative easing, resize it or do nothing at all. The market via bond yields …
S&P 500 Update
On July 29 we started trading the short side of the market. At that time the S&P 500 Index had the highest price spread in history above the 200 day moving average. All technical indicators were showing overbought conditions. As …
S&P500 vs Margin Debt
The first chart represents the 16-18 year Secular Bull and Bear markets. This chart reflects our long-term secular and short-term cyclical market strategy that we have talked about over the last 8 months. We are forecasting the end of a …
Fed versus S&P 500
Federal Reserve Quantitative Easing vs. the SP&500 Index This graph represents the relationship between the Federal Reserve Quantitative Easing Program and the performance of the S&P 500 Index. When the stock market and the financial systems began to collapse back …